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BY: REGINALD MMARIJANUARY 2020Join free telegramchannel t/twfforexFOREXICT & MMMnotes Table of Contents **RISK DICLAIMER ................................................................................................................ ** **PRICE FOUNDATION – SWING POINTS (FRACTALS) ............................................................ ** **SWING HIGH .............................................................................................................................. ** **SWING LOW ............................................................................................................................... ** **MARKET STRUCTURE CONCEPT ......................................................................................... ** **TRADING WITH MARKET STRUCTURE ......................................................................................... ** **MARKET FLOW ................................................................................................................ ** **TRADING WITH SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE .................................................................... ** **TYPES OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ....................................................................................... ** NATURAL SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ......................................................................................... 12 IMPLIED SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ........................................................................................... 13 OTHER SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS ................................................................................. 15 **THE COMMITMENT OF TRADERS DATA AND COT CHARTS ............................................... ** **HOW COMMERCIALS TRADE .................................................................................................... ** **THE COT INSIDER TACTICS ........................................................................................................ ** STOP LISTENING TO THE HERD .................................................................................................... 21 SEASONAL TENDENCIES ............................................................................................................... 22 **SMART MONEY CORRELATION ........................................................................................ ** **USDX SMT DIVERGENCE ........................................................................................................... ** **CORRELATED PAIR SMT DIVERGENCE ....................................................................................... ** BULLISH SMT DIVERGENCE .......................................................................................................... 24 BEARISH SMT DIVERGENCE ......................................................................................................... 25 **THE CRB COMMODITY INDEX SMT DIVERGENCE .............................................................. ** **STOCK INDEX SMT DIVERGENCE ...................................................................................... ** **UNDERSTANDING MAJOR MARKET SWINGS .................................................................... ** **REACTION LEVELS ............................................................................................................ ** **ORDER BLOCKS ......................................................................................................................... ** BULLISH ORDER BLOCK ................................................................................................................ 28 BEARISH ORDER BLOCK ............................................................................................................... 29 ORDER BLOCK SELECTION ............................................................................................................ 29 **LIQUIDITY POOL ....................................................................................................................... ** **LIQU IDITY VOID ........................................................................................................................ ** **FAIR VALUE GAP ....................................................................................................................... ** **LIQUIDITY INJECTION ............................................................................................................... ** **NEUTRALIZING OPEN FLOAT ..................................................................................................... ** **NEUTRALIZING PENDING STOPS ............................................................................................... ** **ENGINEERING LIQUIDITY .......................................................................................................... ** **CROUCHING OUTSIDE ORDER BLOCK ........................................................................................ ** **INSTITUTIONAL PRICING ........................................................................................................... ** **MIDIGATION BLOCKS ............................................................................................................... ** **THE BREAKER ........................................................................................................................... ** BULLISH BREAKER BLOCK ............................................................................................................ 41 BEARISH BREAKER BLOCK ............................................................................................................ 41 **THE POWER OF THREE ..................................................................................................... ** BASIS SCALPING BUY METHOD .................................................................................................... 63 ASIAN SESSION ............................................................................................................................ 66 LONDON OPEN TACTIC ................................................................................................................ 69 LONDON CLOSE/LATE NEW YORK CLOSE (REVERSAL MARKET PROFILE) .................................... 73 BULLISH WOLFE WAVE ................................................................................................................ 98 **EXECUTION STAGE OF ANALYSIS ** **MANAGEMENT STAGE OF ANALYSIS ......................................................................................... ** **REACTIONARY STAGE OF ANALYSIS .......................................................................................... ** **DOCUMENTATION STAGE OF ANALYSIS .................................................................................... ** **THE TRADING PLAN ROUTINE .......................................................................................... ** **TRAD ING INTERMEDIATE TERM ................................................................................................ ** **TRADING SHORT TERM ............................................................................................................. ** **TRADING INTRADAY ................................................................................................................. ** **20 PIP PER DAY SCALPING METHOD ......................................................................................... ** **SESSION TRADING .................................................................................................................... ** BASIC SCALPING SELL METHOD ................................................................................................... 64 **ICT INTRADAY PRICE TEMPLATES ..................................................................................... ** NEW YORK OPEN TRADE ............................................................................................................. 77 **CLASSIC BUY TEMPLATE ........................................................................................................... ** **LONDON SWING TO Z DAY ....................................................................................................... ** **PROFILE) .................................................................................................................................. LONDON SWING TO NEW YORK OPEN / LONDON CLOSE REVERSAL (REVERSAL MARKET ** **RANGE TO NEW YORK OPEN/LONDON CLOSE RALLY ................................................................ ** **CONSOLIDATION RAID ON NEWS RELEASE ............................................................................... ** **SWING TO SEEK AND DESTROY ................................................................................................. ** **TRADING THE NEWS ........................................................................................................ ** **KEY ECOMONIC RELEASES ........................................................................................................ ** **TRADING INSIDE THE RANGE ........................................................................................... ** **MONTHLY RANGE .................................................................................................................... ** **CENTRAL BANK DEALERS RANGE (THE FLOUT) .......................................................................... ** **THE JUDAS SWING ........................................................................................................... ** **HIGH PROBABILITY PRICE PATTERNS ............................................................................... ** **THE DOJI CANDLESTICK PATTERN ............................................................................................. ** **THE HAMMER CANDLESTICK PATTERN aka PIN BAR ................................................................. ** **THE TWEEZER LOW CANDLESTICK PATTERN ............................................................................. ** **THE TWEEZER HIGH CANDLESTICK PATTERN ............................................................................. ** **RAIL ROAD TRACKS CANDLESTICK PATTERN ............................................................................. ** **HEAD AND SHOULDERS & INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN .................................... ** **THREE INDIANS CLIMAX REVERSAL (THREE PUSHES TO THE HI/LO) .......................................... ** **TRIANGLES CONTINUATION PATTERN ...................................................................................... ** BEARISH WOLFE WAVE ................................................................................................................ 99 **BULL FLAG CONTINUATION PATTERN ..................................................................................... ** **BEAR FLAG CONTINUATION PATTERN .................................................................................... ** **COIL EXPANSION PATTERN ..................................................................................................... ** **THE TURTLE SOUP PATTERN ................................................................................................... ** **OUTSIDE DAY WITH DOWN/UP CLOSE (RANGE EXPANSION) .................................................. ** **INSIDE DAY (RANGE CONTRACTION) ...................................................................................... ** **OTE (OPTIMAL TRADE ENTRY) ....................................................................................... ** **THE ENTRY CONCEPT ..................................................................................................... ** **PROFESSIONAL ORDER PLACEMENT .............................................................................. ** **HOW TO CAPTURE EXPLOSIVE FOREX PROFITS .............................................................. ** **WEEKLY HIGHS AND LOWS ..................................................................................................... ** **WEEK’S OPENING PRICE ......................................................................................................... ** **TRADING PLAN DEVELOPMENT ..................................................................................... ** **THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME ................................................................................................... ** **THE LEAST IMPORTANT PROCESS ........................................................................................... ** **THE GENERAL OVERVIEW ....................................................................................................... ** **THE PARADIGM SHIFT ............................................................................................................ ** **PACK SMALL PLAY BIG ............................................................................................................ ** **KEEPING REALISTIC GOALS IN FOCUS ...................................................................................... ** **MODULAR THINKING – STEADY PROGRESS ............................................................................. ** **KEEP SOMETHING – PAY YOURSELF ........................................................................................ ** **THE 7 KEYS TO SUCCESSFUL FOREX TRADING ................................................................. ** **TRADE LIKE A SNIPER ..................................................................................................... ** **LESS IS MORE ......................................................................................................................... ** **HIGHER TIME FRAMES ............................................................................................................ ** **PATIENCE ............................................................................................................................... ** **FEAR AND GREED ................................................................................................................... **PRICE FOUNDATION – SWING POINTS (FRACTALS) SWING HIGH Ø Ideal Setup is having two lower candles on the left and right with a higher candle in the Middle SWING LOW Ø Ideal setup is having two higher candles on the left and right with a lower candle in the middle MARKET STRUCTURE CONCEPT The actual turning points that includes high and lows within it (Intermediate highs and lows) The market trade in a generic pattern of rhythm and it is easy to read if you are aware of the basic structure price tends to move in This concept is universal. It relies on your understanding of swing Highs and swing Lows. As Markets decline and make lower lows, each new swing low in price is anchored or reacting to another swing higher and swing lower. Putting it another way “every swing in price has an equal counter swing it is unfolding from and attempt to fulfill” Generally, the market trades from short term low (STL) to short term high (STH) back to a new short term low (STL). As these STL’s and STH’s form, they will develop a “market structure “of price action. Any short term low (STL) that has higher short term lows (STL) on both sides of it is considered an Intermediate term low (ITL). Any short term high (STH) that has lower short term highs (STH) on both sides of it is considered an Intermediate term high (ITH). Any Intermediate term low (ITL) that has higher intermediate term lows (ITL) on both sides of it is considered Long term low (LTL) Any Intermediate term high (ITH) that has lower intermediate term highs (ITH) on both sides of it is considered Long term high (LTH) If the market structure is bearish, price will be breaking previous swing lows but maintaining swing highs Hunt Intermediate swings, limit your consideration to only trading the Intermediate term highs for short trades and Intermediate term lows for long trades Taking short term scalps and or day trades in that same direction is advised. Your trading plan is not to capture every move in the market just like easy low hanging fruit. Using Daily, H4 and H1 market structure and nesting fractals can be a wildly profitable price action concept When the bearish market structure is broken, the market structure will shift to bullish and when the bullish market structure is broken, the market structure will shift to bearish. Expect market structure to be broken at support/resistance level. When the most recent swing low is broken after the move to resistance market structure will shift to bearish. When most recent swing high is broken after the move to the support market structure will shift to bullish. Monitor Market structure on Higher time frame like weekly, daily and monthly charts. You can have a bullish market flow in a bearish market structure, for example you can have a buy trade in Lower time frame within higher time frame bearish market structure. Wait for Higher timeframe market structure to be in sync with low time frame market flow. Market structure will be considered a move from a major high to major low and vice versa In B ullish market structure pay attention to swing lows and not swing highs (buy low) In bearish market structure pay attention to swing highs and not the lows (sell high) Ther e is high probability of seeing big market shifts after every three months (quarterly). Monitor market during this period of time and include COT and Dollar index analysis for confluence. Ø Measure swing low to swing low, count the days. Multiple that number by 1 (round down) and add that number of bars to the swing high in the middle of the two swing lows. This should bring you to the next swing high. MARKET FLOW Only previous most recent swing high/low are used to determine the “market flow” with old swings disregarded. There is strong agreement of Market Flow if Daily, 4 Hour, and 1 Hour timeframes are in line. Focus on 4 Hour Market Flow for consistency. (use H4 chart to see market flow) If market structure and market flow are not inline or clear to you, don’t trade If recent swing high (fractal) is broken, the market flow is bullish until the most recent swing low is broken. If recent swing low (fractal) is broken, the market flow is bearish until the most recent swing high is broken. Market flow can change at any time. Pay attention to intermediate term swings not short term swingssess ion’s trading § Begin: 8am EST or 1pm GMT § End: 5pm EST or 10pm GMT § Allow up to 1 hour before and after these times Ø Intraday Fractals (short term Support and Resistance intraday) o Swings that form and retrace back into previous session High or Low o You can use these levels for low risk entries and take profit o Use 15 minutes’ chart for monitoring intraday Fractals Ø Trend line analysis (Channel, Supply and Demand lines) Once support is broken it will act as support, and once the support is broken it will act as resistance IMPLIED SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE Ø Fibonacci Levels o Retracements o Extensions _FIBONACCI _ Traders use the Fibonacci Retracement levels as potential support and resistance areas .Since so many traders watch these same levels and place buy and sell orders on them to enter trades or place stops, the support and resistance levels tend to become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Traders use the Fibonacci Extension levels as profit taking levels . Again, since so manytraders are watching these levels to place buy and sell orders to take profits, this tool tends to work more often than not due to self- fulfilling expectations. The Fibonacci tool works best when the market is trending. The idea is to go long (or buy) ona retracement at a Fibonacci support level when the market is trending up, and to go short (or sell) on a retracement at a Fibonacci resistance level when the market is trending down. In order to find these retracement levels, you have to find the recent significant Swing Highs and Swings Lows. Then, for downtrends, click on the Swing High and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing Low. For uptrends, do the opposite. Click on the Swing Low and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing High. Previous Three Days - Reference the previous three days when trying to determine points todraw Fibs at the Highs/Lows. Session Highs Lows - You can use a Session High/Low when drawing Fibs. Not just only dailyhighs/lows. TARGETING USING FIB RETRACEMENT Upside Objective: Pull Fib from recent swing high to the swing low. First take profit wouldbe around the 100 level and then the 200 level. Downside Objective: Pull Fib from recent swing low to the swing high. First take profitwould be around the 100 level and then the 200 level. Always look to the left of price to identify other key price levels which may coincide withthe targeted price objective. TARGETING USING FIB EXANSION Upside Objective: Pull from the buy point on the swing low towards the previous swinghigh. This will show the expansion levels. Downside Objective: Pull from the sell point on the swing high towards the previous swinglow. This will show the expansion levels. Prolonged Targeting - Use Fib Retracement and instead of pulling from high to low and thehigh sits on the 100 level, raise the Fib tool so that the high sits on the 50 level. You'll see the extension levels move higher for a longer range price objective in a trending higher market o 50 pip – Mid Figure level (for example 1) o In between Big figure 1 and Mid Figure 1 we are looking for 1 level) o In Between 1 and 1 even Big Figure we are looking for 1. o In Summary we are looking at Ø 00 Levels Ø 80 levels Ø 50 levels Ø 20 levels ICT TRADER’S TRINITY Always look for 3 periods back to any time frame you are trading to see the significant Swing Points for example 3 months, 3 weeks and 3 days (you can mark the highest high and lowest low of 3 periods like 3 months high and low The 3 periods high and low will be used to identify if we are trading within the trinity or if we have broken the trinity (most of the time market will trade within 3 months or periods high and low) for example if price is trading within 3 months high and low it is trading within the trinity but if it will break the 3 months high or low then the price is trading outside trinity If t he current trinity is broken look for previous trinity where market might reach for to the same direction of the broken trinity, for example if the three months’ low is broken look back for another 3 months high or low price might reach those level If the trinity is broken expect to see Major high or low to form in the market place (Monthly trinity viewed in D1 or H4 chart is good to see this unfold) Whenever the trinity is broken you can use Fibonacci from the point where the trinity is broken to previous 3 periods high or low and use 162 or 200 fib levels for target and entry. For example, if the 3-month trinity was broken to the upside, draw a fib from the current trinity high that was broken to the 3-month trinity low to know where price might reach Afte r projecting where price might be reaching for, know that not every time price will trade directly to projected area of take profit, sometime price will retrace within the broken trinity or fair value to give you Optimal trade entry and then it will move to the projected area of take profitTRINITY LEVELS Upper boundary price levels would signify an overbought area and we should look foropportunities to sell. Lower boundary price levels would signify an oversold area and we should look foropportunities to buy. Always see if this is in agreement or against higher time frame analysis. Price will typically come back to the fair value zones in the centre area of the Traders Trinity. Try not to trade in the Fair Value Zone or doted small lines below oversold area or overbought area unless there is another indicator or patter like optimal trade entry supporting it Same procedure can be used in weekly and monthly trinity Use D1 time frame for Monthly trinity, H4 time frame for Weekly trinity and M15 or H1 for Daily trinity • KEY POINTo The more times a support and resistance area is “hit”, the more significant it is. HOW COMMERCIALS TRADE Professional trader waits for the low to form in price actions. Trading long with the understanding the commercials will be selling the market to them. |
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